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Institut für Statik und Dynamik der Tragwerke
Prof. Dr.-Ing. habil. B. Möller
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Fuzzy randomness

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Fuzzy randomness simultaneously describes objective and subjective information as a fuzzy set of possible probabilistic models over some range of imprecision. This generalized uncertainty model contains fuzziness and randomness as special cases.

Objective uncertainty in the form of observed/measured data is modeled as randomness, whereas subjective uncertainty, e.g., due to a lack of trustworthiness or imprecision of measurement results, of distribution parameters, of environmental conditions, or of the data sources, is described as fuzziness. The model fuzzy randomness then combines but not mixes objectivity and subjectivity; these are separately visible at any time. It may be understood as an imprecise probabilistic model, which allows for simultaneously considering all possible probability models that are relevant to describing the problem.


Fuzzy random vectors


In accordance with the traditional probability theory, the space of the random elementary events Ω and the fundamental set X = n are introduced. Instead of a real-valued realization, a fuzzy realization is assigned to each elementary event ω ∈ Ω, see Fig. 1.




Fig. 1: Model of a fuzzy random variable


A fuzzy random variable or fuzzy random vector is the fuzzy result of the uncertain mapping


where F(X) is the set of all fuzzy vectors on n. Each real-valued random vector X on X that is completely contained in fuzzy random vector is referred to as an original Xj of fuzzy random vector. That is, the crisp realizations xj of an original Xj are elements of the fuzzy realizations of the associated fuzzy random vector fuzzy random vector for all elementary events ω ∈ Ω, see Fig. 1.

On this basis, particular events can be assessed in terms of probability. In view of a numerical treatment, α-discretization is applied. This leads to random α-level sets Xα of the fuzzy random vectors. With Ai being a crisp set on X fuzzy probability is defined as


with


That is, the imprecision of the fuzzy realizations is transferred to the probability measure. For each α-level a probability interval with the bounds Pαl(Ai) and Pαr(Ai) is obtained. The fuzzy probability comprises all possible assessment results for Ai which can be obtained with respect to the fuzzy set of possible probability models accounted for with the fuzzy random vector fuzzy random vector.


Fuzzy probability distributions


The fuzzy probability distribution function of a fuzzy random vector fuzzy random vector on X = n is defined in extension of the traditional probability theory by applying the concept of fuzzy probability. For each specified xX the fuzzy functional value


is defined for all α-levels by


and


see Fig. 2.




Fig. 2: Fuzzy probability density function and fuzzy probability distribution function


For determining the interval bounds Fαl(x) and Fαr(x) for each α-level, all originals Xj of fuzzy random vector that are contained in Xα must be taken into account. The fuzzy probability distribution function fprobf of fuzzy random vector may thus be interpreted as being the set of the probability distribution functions Fj(x) of all originals Xj of fuzzy random vector with the membership values μ(Fj(x)). Each original Xj specifies precisely one trajectory Fj(x) ∈ fprobf. On a trajectory-by-trajectory basis associated fuzzy probability density functions are also defined. The bunch of trajectories Fj(x) or fj(x) contained in fprobf or f_prob_d_f comprises all possible probability models which are accounted for with the fuzzy random vector fuzzy random vector as an imprecise probabilistic description of the problem.


Fuzzy random functions


In analog to the traditional probability theory the concept of fuzzy randomness can be extended to dealing with time-dependent and spatial problems.

A fuzzy random function is a function whose functional values are fuzzy random vectors. These functional values may depend on the spatial coordinates θ = (θ123), the time τ, and occasionally further parameters φ=(φ1, φ2, ...) from the parameter space Teq: Rm. In general, these parameters may represent fuzzy variables. With the fuzzy parameter vector characterizes a fuzzy random function defined on the space F(T) × Ω. Thereby Ω denotes the space of the random elementary events and F(T) represents the set of all fuzzy vectors on Teq: Rm.

A fuzzy random function is defined as the fuzzy result of the uncertain mapping


in which F(X) characterizes the set of all fuzzy vectors on eq: Rn. For each specified point tT a fuzzy random function represents a fuzzy random vector . Thus, a fuzzy random function may also be defined as a set of fuzzy random vectors on the parameter space T

.
<>For all tT together a fuzzy function is assigned as a realization to each elementary event ω ∈ Ω, see Fig. 3.


Fig. 3: Realizations of a one-dimensional fuzzy random function

For a numerical treatment α-discretization is applied again. The formulas can be derived straightforward from the specifications for fuzzy random vectors. Also, multi-dimensional fuzzy probability distributions can be defined for fuzzy random functions as an extension of traditional probabilistics. Special cases of fuzzy random functions are obtained for the restriction of the parameter space to exclusively time-dependence
t = τ as fuzzy random processes and to exclusively spatial coordinated t = θ = (θ123) as fuzzy random fields.

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