Fuzzy randomness
Objective uncertainty in the form of observed/measured data is modeled as randomness, whereas subjective uncertainty, e.g., due to a lack of trustworthiness or imprecision of measurement results, of distribution parameters, of environmental conditions, or of the data sources, is described as fuzziness. The model fuzzy randomness then combines but not mixes objectivity and subjectivity; these are separately visible at any time. It may be understood as an imprecise probabilistic model, which allows for simultaneously considering all possible probability models that are relevant to describing the problem.
Fuzzy random vectors
In accordance with the traditional probability theory, the space of the random elementary events Ω and the fundamental set X = n
are introduced. Instead of
a real-valued realization,
a fuzzy realization
is assigned to each elementary event ω ∈ Ω, see Fig. 1.
Fig. 1: Model of a fuzzy random variable
A fuzzy random variable or fuzzy random vector
is the fuzzy result of the uncertain mapping
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On this basis, particular events can be assessed in terms of probability. In view of a numerical treatment, α-discretization is applied. This leads to random α-level sets Xα of the fuzzy random vectors. With Ai being a crisp set on X fuzzy probability is defined as
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with
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That
is, the imprecision of the fuzzy realizations is transferred to the
probability measure. For each α-level a probability interval with the
bounds Pαl(Ai) and Pαr(Ai) is obtained. The fuzzy probability
comprises all possible assessment results for Ai
which can be obtained with respect to the fuzzy set of possible
probability models accounted for with the fuzzy random vector
.
Fuzzy probability distributions
The fuzzy probability distribution function
of a fuzzy random vector
on X = n is defined in extension of the traditional probability theory by applying the concept of fuzzy probability. For each specified x ∈ X the fuzzy functional value
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is defined for all α-levels by
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and
see Fig. 2.
For determining the interval bounds Fαl(x) and Fαr(x) for each α-level, all originals Xj of
that are contained in Xα must be taken into account. The fuzzy probability distribution function
of
may thus be interpreted as being the set of the probability distribution functions Fj(x) of all originals Xj of
with the membership values μ(Fj(x)). Each original Xj specifies precisely one trajectory Fj(x) ∈
. On a trajectory-by-trajectory basis associated fuzzy probability density functions
are also defined. The bunch of trajectories Fj(x) or fj(x) contained in
or
comprises all possible probability models which are accounted for with the fuzzy random vector
as an imprecise probabilistic description of the problem.
Fuzzy random functions
In
analog to the traditional probability theory the concept of fuzzy
randomness can be extended to dealing with time-dependent and spatial
problems.
A fuzzy random function is a function whose
functional values are fuzzy random vectors. These functional values may
depend on the spatial coordinates θ = (θ1,θ2,θ3), the time τ, and occasionally further parameters φ=(φ1, φ2, ...) from the parameter space T ⊆ m. In general, these parameters may represent fuzzy variables. With the fuzzy parameter vector
characterizes a fuzzy random function defined on the space F(T) × Ω. Thereby Ω denotes the space of the random elementary events and F(T) represents the set of all fuzzy vectors on T ⊆ m.
A fuzzy random function
is defined as the fuzzy result of the uncertain mapping
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in which F(X) characterizes the set of all fuzzy vectors on n. For each specified point t ∈ T a fuzzy random function represents a fuzzy random vector
. Thus, a fuzzy random function may also be defined as a set of fuzzy random vectors on the parameter space T
For
a numerical treatment α-discretization is applied again. The formulas
can be derived straightforward from the specifications for fuzzy random
vectors. Also, multi-dimensional fuzzy probability distributions can be
defined for fuzzy random functions as an extension of traditional
probabilistics. Special cases of fuzzy random functions are obtained
for the restriction of the parameter space to exclusively
time-dependence
t = τ as fuzzy random processes and to exclusively spatial coordinated t = θ = (θ1,θ2,θ3) as fuzzy random fields.
References
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